Monday, June 12, 2006

Virginia primary will make a difference either way

This year, there's a Democratic primary contest between former Reagan administration Navy Secretary Jim Webb and the more liberal millionaire, Harris Miller. It's turning into quite a contest, with Webb still as the Democratic favorite. Recently a kerfuffle has arisen over some Webb literature with a caricature of Miller with a hooked nose and money spilling from his pockets. The Miller campaign says it's anti-Semitic, but the Webb campaign denies it. I've searched the web to see if I could find a picture of Miller showing whether his nose really is hooked or not, but to no avail. If anyone out there can help me out, I'd appreciate it. Just post a link in the comments, thanks.

It's true about Miller having money spilling out of his pockets—metaphorically, at least. Miller is a lobbyist, which is one of those things that's been getting a lot of bad press lately. I'm betting this will help Webb's bid, and the charges of anti-Semitism will come to naught.

This is bad news for Republican incumbent Senator George Allen. Although Allen will probably win reëlection, a strong challenge this year could bloody Allen's nose before his 2008 presidential bid, and will drain resources from his campaign war chest. And there's always the possibility (though it's unlikely) that the Democrats will have an even better night than many expect, and wind up winning in Virginia, which would be nice, but I'm not counting on that. You never know, though. Allen could wind up getting caught in some creepy sex scandal or something and see his whole campaign melt down, which would be an easy in for the Democrats. No guarantees of that, though, and that's certainly not a contingency to plan around.

At any rate, if the Democrats' Virginia U.S. Senate candidate loses (whoever it is,) he'll still look good, because there's no shame in taking on a strong incumbent like Allen and losing. And that means a deeper bench for the 2009 gubernatorial race, which would be nice to see play into the Democrats' hands... for the third time in a row! This is sure to make Republican Lieutenant Governor Bolling nervous, come what may.

I look forward to a healthy primary and a healthy Senate race. And may the best Democrat win.

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